Application of Autoregressive Distributed LAG Models to Evaluating Malawi’s Tax Revenue Productivity and Tax Administration Reform

Application of Autoregressive Distributed LAG Models to Evaluating Malawi’s Tax Revenue Productivity and Tax Administration Reform

Author: Isaac Yamikani Chilima

ISSN: 2709-8575
Affiliations: Assistant Professor of Economics and Business, and Chair of Economics, School of Business and Leadership, Colorado Christian University
Source: African Multidisciplinary Tax Journal, 2023 Issue 1, p. 170–197
https://doi.org/10.47348/AMTJ/V3/i1a9

Abstract

This analysis demonstrates the application of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models to gauge tax revenue performance in both the short term and the long term, as well as how to incorporate dummies to gauge changes following a popular semi-autonomous tax authority reform. To measure performance, we estimated tax buoyancy, defined as the percentage change in tax revenue in response to the percentage change in the tax base. Using data from 1979 to 2017 from annual economic reports and the United Nations University Government Revenue Dataset, the results show that personal income tax is the most productive of the direct taxes, while VAT is the most productive of the indirect taxes. However, underperforming customs duties estimates were evidence of deep-seated problems, calling for urgent intervention to curb tax evasion, fraud and corruption. Overall, estimates also suggest that tax revenue productivity improved following the tax reform, although the study could not fully credit the improvement to the reform itself.

The Impact of Tax Treaties on the Promotion of FDI: the Case of Morocco

The Impact of Tax Treaties on the Promotion of FDI: the Case of Morocco

Author: Amine Doghmi

ISSN: 2709-8575
Affiliations: National Institute of Statistics and Applied Economics, Rabat, Morocco
Source: African Multidisciplinary Tax Journal, 2023 Issue 1, p. 198–212
https://doi.org/10.47348/AMTJ/V3/i1a10

Abstract

Foreign direct investments (FDI) play a decisive role in stimulating economic growth and the socio-economic development of developing countries. Foreign investors look for states that offer an environment that is favourable to business and investment. With this in mind Morocco has adopted a policy of attracting foreign investors by reducing administrative obstacles to investment and introducing advantageous tax incentives, including the conclusion of double taxation treaties (DTT). The impact of DTTs on the promotion of FDI has given rise to some debate: the results of studies thereon have diverged, depending on the country. In the Moroccan context, the interpretation of the results of the ARDL model used in this article shows that the impact of DTTs on FDI is statistically insignificant. Consequently, the Moroccan tax authorities should start thinking about a cost-benefit analysis of these tax treaties.

Impact of Implicit Tax on Personal Income Tax Compliance Behaviours

Impact of Implicit Tax on Personal Income Tax Compliance Behaviours

Authors: lhasan Usman and Professor Victor Kyari Gimba

ISSN: 2709-8575
Affiliations: Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) Nigeria; Professor and Head of Department, Department of Economics, Kaduna State University (KASU), Nigeria
Source: African Multidisciplinary Tax Journal, 2023 Issue 1, p. 213–236
https://doi.org/10.47348/AMTJ/V3/i1a11

Abstract

The objectives of this study are to examine the impact of implicit tax, income level and the perception of corruption on personal income tax compliance level in Kaduna State, Nigeria. The data were retrieved from primary sources, and 486 questionnaires were screened and analysed. The Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey Heteroskedasticity test was conducted to determine the presence of heteroskedasticity or otherwise, while the weighted least square regression model was used to analyse the study’s data. It was found that implicit tax and perception of corruption have a significant negative impact on personal income tax compliance behaviour, while income level has an insignificant positive impact on personal income tax compliance level. This study concluded that implicit tax and perception of corruption are important determinants of personal income tax compliance behaviour in Kaduna State, Nigeria. Therefore, the study recommended that Kaduna State government and its relevant agencies should do as much as they can to discharge their constitutional responsibilities and provide the necessary public services. The relevant tax authority should double its efforts in ensuring that all taxpayers, no matter their level of income, comply with the provisions of the relevant tax laws and the regulations of the relevant tax jurisdictions.

Impact of the AfCFTA Agreement on Customs Revenue: case of Togo

Impact of the AfCFTA Agreement on Customs Revenue: case of Togo

Author: Bayoma Wili Samara

ISSN: 2709-8575
Affiliations: Macroéconomiste-financier, Chef Section budget, Direction des finances, Office Togolais des Recettes, TOGO
Source: African Multidisciplinary Tax Journal, 2023 Issue 1, p. 237–253
https://doi.org/10.47348/AMTJ/V3/i1a12

Abstract

The problem of loss of budgetary revenues with the implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement remains a concern, especially for the least developed countries. The losses resulting from the removal of tariff barriers deserve to be assessed in order to allow public authorities to establish mitigating measures. Drawing from this perspective, this paper aims to quantitatively assess the impact that the AfCFTA agreement has on Togo’s customs revenue. Using the differential method of current and future tariff regimes, the results of the study estimate the total loss in Togolese customs revenue during the first three years of the implementation of the Agreement at 30.9 billion CFA. This loss represents up to 0.25 per cent of the GDP and 22.67 per cent of the customs revenue collected, which could further widen the country’s budget deficit, and consequently compromise the financing of its development needs. Faced with such a situation, the Togolese state should carry out major internal tax reforms and public policy, consisting among others of broadening its national tax base, promoting the facilitation of intracontinental trade, and supporting the private sector through financial mechanisms in order to contribute to their competitiveness in light of the competition from other foreign companies.

Tax Awareness Among Micro-Business Owners in Informal Settings

Tax Awareness Among Micro-Business Owners in Informal Settings

Author: Ayodele Ibrahim Shittu

ISSN: 2709-8575
Affiliations: Department of Economics, University of Lagos, Nigeria
Source: African Multidisciplinary Tax Journal, 2023 Issue 1, p. 254–272
https://doi.org/10.47348/AMTJ/V3/i1a13

Abstract

This paper broadly seeks to examine the determinants of tax awareness among micro-entrepreneurs in informal settings in the Bariga Local Council Development Area (LCDA) of Lagos State, Nigeria. Specifically, this paper examines the effects of business size, business records and tax education on tax awareness among microentrepreneurs in informal settings there. Tax awareness in this study is treated as a dichotomous variable to test the statistical significance of each of the predictors. The study uses a multiple logistic regression analysis. The findings show that gender, education, business records and tax education are significant predictors of tax awareness among the micro-entrepreneurs in informal settings. The study makes a significant contribution to an understanding of taxation in informal sector, especially in the African context where the size of informal settings significantly impacts the sustainable development of the economy at large.

An Analysis of Gender Equality and Tax Policies in Zimbabwe

An Analysis of Gender Equality and Tax Policies in Zimbabwe

Author: Learnmore Nyamu Zanga

ISSN: 2709-8575
Affiliations: Committee on Fiscal Studies (CFS)
Source: African Multidisciplinary Tax Journal, 2023 Issue 1, p. 273–302
https://doi.org/10.47348/AMTJ/V3/i1a14

Abstract

This paper analyses the relationship between gender equality and tax policies in Zimbabwe. It focuses on direct and indirect taxes, and explicit and implicit gender biases in the current tax system. The study under review used desktop research and a gender-disaggregated tax-incidence analysis to find that Zimbabwe’s tax laws do not have any explicit bias against women. However, indirect taxes like value-added tax, informal taxes and trade taxes, which make up 60 per cent of all tax revenue, have implicit biases against women that are hard to see. Tax data needs to be genderdisaggregated to ensure that the total revenue mix is fair to women and supports gender-transformative tax policies, both in terms of how revenue is raised and how it is spent. To increase revenue and reduce implicit bias against women, the government must close loopholes for illicit financial f lows, increase progressive taxes, evaluate incentives, and eliminate harmful incentives.